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Home › Evaluation Catalog › DDI-MCC-TZA-IE-TRANS-2020-V04

Tanzania - Transport Sector

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Reference ID DDI-MCC-TZA-IE-TRANS-2020-v04
Year 2019
Country Tanzania
Producer(s) Mathematica Policy Research
Sponsor(s) Millennium Challenge Corporation - MCC -
Metadata PDF Documentation in PDF
Created on Jul 09, 2018
Last modified Oct 28, 2020
Page views 6919
Downloads 2716
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Overview
Identification
Country
Tanzania
Evaluation Title
Transport Sector

Evaluation Type
Independent Evaluation
ID Number
DDI-MCC-TZA-IE-TRANS-2020-v04
Version
Version Description
Licensed datasets, accessible under conditions,

Overview
Abstract
Evaluation questions: This final performance and impact evaluation was designed to answer the following questions: (1) Were transportation costs reduced? How is the road being used, and how has this changed since before the investment?; (2) What is the likelihood that vehicle opera­ting costs (VOC) savings will be passed on to consumers of transportation services? Did runway improvements reduce aircraft operating costs and increase traffic?; (3) What is the likelihood that the roads will be maintained?; and (4) What was the impact of the road improve­ments on incomes in mainland Tanzania and on Pemba Island?

The exposure period was 33 - 80 months after construction. Key findings include the following:

(1) Paving roads led to large increases in travel speeds, and reduc­tions in fuel and vehicle repair costs across all roads, leading to increased traffic volume.

(2) Investing in the national trunk road network greatly facilitated the movement of people and goods across regions and nation­al borders.

(3) Reductions in vehicle operating costs led freight and pas­senger service providers to reduce prices for consumers and increase service provision along the project roads

(4) Paving the runway at the Mafia Island Airport reduced air­craft operating costs, but without any reduction in fares or measurable increase in traffic.

(5) All project roads remain in good condition, but chronic fund­ing shortfalls could undermine needed maintenance over the long-term.

(6) Mainland road improvements facilitated market access and increased economic activity in urban areas connected by the roads. Upgrades may lead to higher economic activity in com­munities near the Pemba Island roads, though these results are not statistically significant.

Evaluation Methodology
Independent Ex-Post ERR and HDM-4
Units of Analysis
Community, households, administrative units; OTHER: road, trip

Kind of Data
Other

Questionnaires
Community (traffic and vehicle operating cost survey), Administrative (transportation agency key informant interviews), Household (vehicle intercept survey and focus groups)

Geographic Coverage
The project improved trunk and regional roads in the Tanga region (Tanga-Horohoro), the Songwe Region (Tunduma-Sumbawanga), the Mtwara region (Mtwara Corridor), the Mafia Island Airport. The project also improved roads on Pemba Island, in the Tanga region (Tanga-Horohoro), the Songwe Region (Tunduma-Sumbawanga), and the Mtwara region (Mtwara Corridor).

Topics
TopicVocabularyURI
Transport
Keywords
Tanzania, Tanzania compact, Roads, Infrastructure, Transportation, HDM-4
Producers and Sponsors
Primary Investigator(s)
NameAffiliation
Mathematica Policy Research
Funding
NameAbbreviationRole
Millennium Challenge Corporation MCC
Metadata Production
Metadata Produced By
NameAbbreviationRole
Mathematica Policy ResearchMathematicaIndependent Evaluator
Date Produced
2020-10-08
Metadata Version
Version 04

Metadata ID Number
DDI-MCC-TZA-IE-TRANS-2020-v04
MCC Compact and Program
Compact or Threshold
Tanzania Compact (2008 - 2013)
Program
The Tanzania Transport Sector Project aimed to increase cash crop revenue and aggregate tourism spending through four activities: (1) upgrading three mainland trunk roads, for a total of 473 kilometers in improved roadways; (2) upgrading 35 kilometers of rural roads on Pemba Island; (3) building the capacity of national and Zanzibar regional roads maintenance entities; and (4) upgrading the Mafia Island Airport runway and taxiway.
MCC Sector
Transport (Trans)
Program Logic
The program logic expected that roads improvements would reduce travel time on the roads and reduce the cost of operating and maintaining vehicles used along improved segments. Over the longer term, the savings from the reduced VOCs and travel time would be passed on to farmers and consumers through competitive transport and agriculture markets, and farmers would increase their cash crop revenue. In addition, the program logic assumed that improved roads would increase access to social services such as schooling and health care for those living close to the roads, which would in turn increase human capital and, eventually, wages. The expected beneficiaries were road users (including transport operators and vehicle passengers) as well as farmers, who would receive increased cash crop revenue, and households living near the roads. The initial program logic did not distinguish between beneficiaries of trunk roads-who include inhabitants living at the ends of improved road segments and beyond, largely in urban areas-and those living in rural areas along the roads. These trunk roads can also reduce barriers to interregional trade and facilitate cross-border trade, whereas beneficiaries of rural roads are more likely to be households living in the vicinity of the upgraded roads who now have better access to the transportation network.
Program Participants
Roads users

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